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Umpire

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Date: Feb 14, 2016
Franchise Wars! Another SOMers Group Project
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Just for some fun I ran all the leagues using unchanged rosters and thus doesn't count for anything. This will give Grey Eagle something to do for the next several months. biggrin

The next "real" seasons will include 2015 and an updated 1982.

LEAGUE STANDINGS FOR 6005 SOMers Franchise A

                            WON LOST  PCT   GB  MAGIC#
6000 New York AL NYY        102  58  .638 ----  *WON* 
6000 St. Louis STL           87  73  .544 15.0        
6000 Los Angeles LAD         87  73  .544 15.0        
6000 Boston BOS              84  76  .525 18.0        
6000 San Francisco SFG       79  81  .494 23.0        
6000 Cincinnati CIN          78  82  .488 24.0        
6000 Baltimore BAL           75  85  .469 27.0        
6000 Chicago NL CHC          72  88  .450 30.0        
6000 Minnesota MIN           56 104  .350 46.0        



       OVERALL RECORD
Team   WON LOST   PCT  HOME  ROAD  LEFT RIGHT EXTRA 1-RUN   LAST 10   STREAK
BAL     75   85  .469 34-46 41-39 24-33 51-52  9-12 19-30     3-7     Won 1
BOS     84   76  .525 42-38 42-38 35-38 49-38  7- 8 21-23     4-6     Won 2
CHC     72   88  .450 33-47 39-41 28-36 44-52  7-10 16-24     2-8     Lost 2
CIN     78   82  .488 36-44 42-38 30-38 48-44  8- 8 19-26     4-6     Won 2
LAD     87   73  .544 44-36 43-37 35-28 52-45  7- 5 27-18     8-2     Lost 1
MIN     56  104  .350 31-49 25-55 16-38 40-66  6- 6 18-20     3-7     Won 1
NYY    102   58  .638 45-35 57-23 31-18 71-40 10- 7 21-17     9-1     Won 1
SFG     79   81  .494 39-41 40-40 32-27 47-54 12- 7 24-14     5-5     Lost 1
STL     87   73  .544 40-40 47-33 33-29 54-44  8-11 29-22     7-3     Lost 2
TOTAL  720  720  .500
HOME   344  376  .478
ROAD   376  344  .522
LEFT   264  285  .481
RIGHT  456  435  .512

TEAM   -APRIL   MAY  JUNE  JULY   AUG SEPT+  RUNS AGNST DIFF
BAL     10-15 10-15 17-10 13-14 15-16 10-15    900   937  -37
BOS     14-11 21- 7 11-19 12-13 11-16 15-10    923   873  +50
CHC     15-14 15-13  8-15 15-12 16-11  3-23    898   941  -43
CIN     15-12 14-14  9-13 13-14 15-16 12-13    895   889   +6
LAD     10-15 16-15 17-13 15-10  8-13 21- 7    837   774  +63
MIN      9-16  9-13  9-20 10-21 12-18  7-16    725  1024 -299
NYY     18-10 13-14 17- 9 17-11 17- 8 20- 6   1118   832 +286
SFG     15-10 13-15 15-12 13-14 11-17 12-13    844   936  -92
STL      8-11 13-18 17- 9 16-15 19- 9 14-11    928   862  +66


WINS ARE ACROSS, LOSSES ARE DOWN:

TEAM BAL BOS CHC CIN LAD MIN NYY SFG STL TOT
BAL    -   9  13  11  10  10   5   9   8  75
BOS   11   -  16   7  12  11   8  12   7  84
CHC    7   4   -  10   7  16   7  10  11  72
CIN    9  13  10   -   9  12   5  11   9  78
LAD   10   8  13  11   -  12   9   9  15  87
MIN   10   9   4   8   8   -   2  11   4  56
NYY   15  12  13  15  11  18   -  10   8 102
SFG   11   8  10   9  11   9  10   -  11  79
STL   12  13   9  11   5  16  12   9   -  87
TOT   85  76  88  82  73 104  58  81  73


RUNS SCORED ARE ACROSS, RUNS ALLOWED ARE DOWN:

TEAM BAL BOS CHC CIN LAD MIN NYY SFG STL  TOT
BAL    - 123 119 128  99 116  89 117 109  900
BOS  118   - 121 115 105 140  97 127 100  923
CHC   92  91   - 120  98 126 137 125 109  898
CIN  115 131 140   -  86 123  97 107  96  895
LAD  113  92 105  94   - 123  96  91 123  837
MIN  116 102  77  84  96   -  69 110  71  725
NYY  156 127 146 134 119 174   - 135 127 1118
SFG  110  87 118  93  96 102 111   - 127  844
STL  117 120 115 121  75 120 136 124   -  928
TOT  937 873 941 889 7741024 832 936 862


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Umpire

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Date: Feb 14, 2016
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LEAGUE GRAND TOTALS (primary report) FOR 6005 SOMers Franchise A


TEAM                   AVG    AB    R     H   2B  3B   HR  RBI   SB   CS    E
6000 New York AL      .284  5743 1118  1631  315  51  389 1080   47   17   88
6000 Boston           .274  5579  923  1528  320  37  263  899   25   12   93
6000 San Francisco    .270  5652  844  1524  250  49  274  809   36   24   86
6000 St. Louis        .270  5653  928  1524  260  79  303  888   16   12   89
6000 Los Angeles      .267  5572  837  1485  254  40  252  809   27    6  101
6000 Cincinnati       .263  5601  895  1473  237  41  359  868   53    8  112
6000 Baltimore        .261  5709  900  1489  259  50  281  866   44   11   74
6000 Chicago NL       .256  5596  898  1434  218  57  398  882    6    3   99
6000 Minnesota        .251  5448  725  1367  240  33  157  692   46   17   94
--------------------  ---- ----- ---- ----- ---- --- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----
LEAGUE TOTALS         .266 50553 8068 13455 2353 437 2676 7793  300  110  836


TEAM                   ERA   W   L      IP     H    R   ER   HR   BB    SO OAVG
6000 Los Angeles      4.32  87  73  1437.1  1379  774  690  240  553  1222 .249
6000 New York AL      4.82 102  58  1455.1  1400  832  779  312  545  1038 .251
6000 St. Louis        4.92  87  73  1450.0  1496  862  792  253  537  1043 .264
6000 Boston           5.14  84  76  1435.1  1450  873  820  316  625  1297 .261
6000 Cincinnati       5.18  78  82  1432.0  1474  889  824  279  676  1015 .264
6000 Chicago NL       5.35  72  88  1427.2  1556  941  849  294  657  1018 .277
6000 San Francisco    5.40  79  81  1450.1  1559  936  870  315  550   983 .274
6000 Baltimore        5.41  75  85  1456.0  1520  937  875  308  621   911 .269
6000 Minnesota        5.90  56 104  1405.2  1621 1024  921  359  520  1064 .286
-------------------- ----- --- --- ------- ----- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----
LEAGUE TOTALS         5.16 720 720 12949.2 13455 8068 7420 2676 5284  9591 .266


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Umpire

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Date: Feb 14, 2016
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LEAGUE STANDINGS FOR 6005 SOMers Franchise B

                            WON LOST  PCT   GB  MAGIC#
6000 Detroit DET             90  70  .563 ----  *WON* 
6000 Oakland OAK             89  71  .556  1.0        
6000 San Diego SDP           83  77  .519  7.0        
6000 Philadelphia PHI        83  77  .519  7.0        
6000 New York NL NYM         78  82  .488 12.0        
6000 Cleveland CLE           77  83  .481 13.0        
6000 Atlanta ATL             76  84  .475 14.0        
6000 Pittsburgh PIT          73  87  .456 17.0        
6000 Colorado COL            71  89  .444 19.0        



       OVERALL RECORD
Team   WON LOST   PCT  HOME  ROAD  LEFT RIGHT EXTRA 1-RUN   LAST 10   STREAK
ATL     76   84  .475 36-44 40-40 29-21 47-63  8- 7 18-20     5-5     Lost 1
CLE     77   83  .481 47-33 30-50 24-28 53-55  7- 9 25-22     4-6     Lost 1
COL     71   89  .444 40-40 31-49 25-33 46-56  6- 7 26-26     4-6     Lost 1
DET     90   70  .563 44-36 46-34 34-24 56-46  7- 7 20-16     8-2     Won 1
NYM     78   82  .488 34-46 44-36 27-26 51-56  7-10 19-29     5-5     Won 1
OAK     89   71  .556 44-36 45-35 25-22 64-49  8- 8 21-19     6-4     Lost 1
PHI     83   77  .519 40-40 43-37 22-20 61-57  7- 6 18-21     4-6     Won 1
PIT     73   87  .456 41-39 32-48 27-27 46-60 11- 8 26-18     5-5     Lost 1
SDP     83   77  .519 39-41 44-36 33-20 50-57  7- 6 21-23     3-7     Won 1
TOTAL  720  720  .500
HOME   365  355  .507
ROAD   355  365  .493
LEFT   246  221  .527
RIGHT  474  499  .487

TEAM   -APRIL   MAY  JUNE  JULY   AUG SEPT+  RUNS AGNST DIFF
ATL      9-16 12-16 13-17 17- 8 15-12 10-15    760   799  -39
CLE     14-13 14-14 13- 9 14-13 11-20 11-14    686   711  -25
COL     13-12 11-17 11-16 13-14 12-16 11-14    854   908  -54
DET     10- 9 14-17 15-11 18-13 14-14 19- 6    934   829 +105
NYM     11-14 14-11 12-15 10-17 17-14 14-11    817   825   -8
OAK     17-11 19- 8 13-13 12-16 13-12 15-11    927   838  +89
PHI     16-13 15-13 11-12 13-14 13-14 15-11    929   900  +29
PIT     13-12 15-16 15-15  9-16 13- 8  8-20    794   930 -136
SDP     11-14 10-12 17-12 18-13 16-14 11-12    827   788  +39


WINS ARE ACROSS, LOSSES ARE DOWN:

TEAM ATL CLE COL DET NYM OAK PHI PIT SDP TOT
ATL    -  13  10   8  12   6  10  11   6  76
CLE    7   -  12   6  11   7  10  12  12  77
COL   10   8   -   9  10   9   7   9   9  71
DET   12  14  11   -   9   9   9  13  13  90
NYM    8   9  10  11   -   9  11   9  11  78
OAK   14  13  11  11  11   -   9  10  10  89
PHI   10  10  13  11   9  11   -  12   7  83
PIT    9   8  11   7  11  10   8   -   9  73
SDP   14   8  11   7   9  10  13  11   -  83
TOT   84  83  89  70  82  71  77  87  77


RUNS SCORED ARE ACROSS, RUNS ALLOWED ARE DOWN:

TEAM ATL CLE COL DET NYM OAK PHI PIT SDP  TOT
ATL    -  82  88  95 104  91 111  99  90  760
CLE   79   -  97  72  82  73 104  86  93  686
COL   96  89   - 110  94 117 129 118 101  854
DET  114 107 122   - 106 110 107 153 115  934
NYM   85  79  97 113   - 108 109 117 109  817
OAK  118 103 139  92 129   - 126 113 107  927
PHI  108 110 144 131  92 121   - 132  91  929
PIT   83  73 116 119 111 106 104   -  82  794
SDP  116  68 105  97 107 112 110 112   -  827
TOT  799 711 908 829 825 838 900 930 788


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Umpire

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Date: Feb 14, 2016
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LEAGUE GRAND TOTALS (primary report) FOR 6005 SOMers Franchise B


TEAM                   AVG    AB    R     H   2B  3B   HR  RBI   SB   CS    E
6000 Detroit          .293  5681  934  1667  302  58  216  886  126   48  102
6000 Oakland          .271  5637  927  1525  282  43  266  889   51   12   96
6000 Philadelphia     .267  5615  929  1500  333  79  288  902   66   26  114
6000 Cleveland        .264  5438  686  1438  274  43   82  656  106   58   86
6000 New York NL      .263  5545  817  1457  336  31  220  785  117   39   84
6000 Colorado         .260  5628  854  1466  284  36  295  822   62   14   62
6000 Pittsburgh       .259  5559  794  1441  258  53  208  764   91   34  110
6000 San Diego        .256  5523  827  1416  288  24  252  794   34   12  111
6000 Atlanta          .245  5472  760  1340  234  42  306  733   55   24  111
--------------------  ---- ----- ---- ----- ---- --- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----
LEAGUE TOTALS         .264 50098 7528 13250 2591 409 2133 7231  708  267  876


TEAM                   ERA   W   L      IP     H    R   ER   HR   BB    SO OAVG
6000 Cleveland        4.18  77  83  1433.2  1264  711  666  247  608  1141 .237
6000 San Diego        4.42  83  77  1436.1  1426  788  706  193  570  1159 .257
6000 Atlanta          4.65  76  84  1435.1  1502  799  742  218  516  1069 .269
6000 New York NL      4.77  78  82  1443.2  1469  825  765  229  555  1335 .263
6000 Detroit          4.78  90  70  1438.0  1443  829  764  273  526  1221 .259
6000 Oakland          4.84  89  71  1441.1  1516  838  775  244  533   983 .269
6000 Philadelphia     5.08  83  77  1428.2  1562  900  806  220  488  1098 .277
6000 Pittsburgh       5.34  73  87  1440.2  1582  930  854  270  533   915 .277
6000 Colorado         5.35  71  89  1427.0  1486  908  849  239  694  1026 .271
-------------------- ----- --- --- ------- ----- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----
LEAGUE TOTALS         4.82 720 720 12924.2 13250 7528 6927 2133 5023  9947 .264


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Umpire

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LEAGUE STANDINGS FOR 6005 SOMers Franchise C

                            WON LOST  PCT   GB  MAGIC#
6000 Houston HOU            100  60  .625 ----  *WON* 
6000 Chicago AL CWS          90  70  .563 10.0        
6000 Montreal MON            85  75  .531 15.0        
6000 Kansas City KCR         82  78  .513 18.0        
6000 Texas TEX               76  84  .475 24.0        
6000 Milwaukee MIL           75  85  .469 25.0        
6000 Miami MIA               72  88  .450 28.0        
6000 California CAL          71  89  .444 29.0        
6000 Seattle SEA             69  91  .431 31.0        



       OVERALL RECORD
Team   WON LOST   PCT  HOME  ROAD  LEFT RIGHT EXTRA 1-RUN   LAST 10   STREAK
CAL     71   89  .444 33-47 38-42 17-25 54-64  7- 6 24-22     4-6     Lost 2
CWS     90   70  .563 51-29 39-41 27-18 63-52  7- 8 25-30     5-5     Won 2
HOU    100   60  .625 55-25 45-35 36-18 64-42  7- 6 23-22     9-1     Won 4
KCR     82   78  .513 41-39 41-39 32-27 50-51  2- 9 20-24     4-6     Won 2
MIA     72   88  .450 38-42 34-46 17-37 55-51  5- 4 23-24     4-6     Lost 3
MIL     75   85  .469 40-40 35-45 29-19 46-66  6- 6 35-21     5-5     Won 1
MON     85   75  .531 47-33 38-42 31-24 54-51  7- 5 27-25     3-7     Lost 2
SEA     69   91  .431 42-38 27-53 14-32 55-59  8- 8 26-29     5-5     Won 1
TEX     76   84  .475 39-41 37-43 24-31 52-53 10- 7 20-26     6-4     Lost 1
TOTAL  720  720  .500
HOME   386  334  .536
ROAD   334  386  .464
LEFT   227  231  .496
RIGHT  493  489  .502

TEAM   -APRIL   MAY  JUNE  JULY   AUG SEPT+  RUNS AGNST DIFF
CAL      9-10 13-18 12-14 16-15 10-18 11-14    641   772 -131
CWS     13-14 13-15 17- 5 13-14 21-10 13-12    760   657 +103
HOU     18- 7 14-11 13-14 16-11 19-12 20- 5    927   721 +206
KCR      9-16 15-13 18-12 18- 7 12-15 10-15    791   792   -1
MIA     11-14 16-15 15-15 10-15  7-14 13-15    803   820  -17
MIL     12-13 16-12 14-13  7-20 15-13 11-14    721   795  -74
MON     15-14 18-10  9-14 16-11 13-14 14-12    763   705  +58
SEA     16-12  9-18  9-17 12-16 12-13 11-15    643   749 -106
TEX     11-14 10-12 13-16 16-15 15-15 11-12    784   822  -38


WINS ARE ACROSS, LOSSES ARE DOWN:

TEAM CAL CWS HOU KCR MIA MIL MON SEA TEX TOT
CAL    -   6   5  11   8  11  11  10   9  71
CWS   14   -   9  10  15   8  10  11  13  90
HOU   15  11   -  10  17  13  10  14  10 100
KCR    9  10  10   -   9  14   6  14  10  82
MIA   12   5   3  11   -   9  11  12   9  72
MIL    9  12   7   6  11   -  10   9  11  75
MON    9  10  10  14   9  10   -  11  12  85
SEA   10   9   6   6   8  11   9   -  10  69
TEX   11   7  10  10  11   9   8  10   -  76
TOT   89  70  60  78  88  85  75  91  84


RUNS SCORED ARE ACROSS, RUNS ALLOWED ARE DOWN:

TEAM CAL CWS HOU KCR MIA MIL MON SEA TEX  TOT
CAL    -  68  66 115  76  91  75  77  73  641
CWS  108   -  79  99 114  80  90  87 103  760
HOU  136 103   - 117 124 119 105 112 111  927
KCR   91  97  90   -  89 114  80 120 110  791
MIA  109  75  96  98   - 115  94 109 107  803
MIL   85  88  84  67 119   -  94  78 106  721
MON   81  77 107 111 101  98   -  78 110  763
SEA   80  64  83  77  78  90  69   - 102  643
TEX   82  85 116 108 119  88  98  88   -  784
TOT  772 657 721 792 820 795 705 749 822


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Umpire

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LEAGUE GRAND TOTALS (primary report) FOR 6005 SOMers Franchise C


TEAM                   AVG    AB    R     H   2B  3B   HR  RBI   SB   CS    E
6000 Houston          .271  5582  927  1513  349  38  254  898  124   27  119
6000 Kansas City      .265  5609  791  1485  272  55  196  757   60   11  101
6000 Miami            .259  5395  803  1398  260  14  194  773  221   98  100
6000 Texas            .257  5589  784  1438  246  39  241  749   96   33  120
6000 Chicago AL       .257  5485  760  1408  263  35  197  732   82   51  100
6000 Montreal         .252  5478  763  1379  273  38  222  729  130   49   97
6000 Milwaukee        .249  5477  721  1362  272  41  211  684   92   46   88
6000 Seattle          .249  5544  643  1378  236  19  181  612   68   17   89
6000 California       .248  5413  641  1341  216  33  170  609   95   49  120
--------------------  ---- ----- ---- ----- ---- --- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----
LEAGUE TOTALS         .256 49572 6833 12702 2387 312 1866 6543  968  381  934


TEAM                   ERA   W   L      IP     H    R   ER   HR   BB    SO OAVG
6000 Chicago AL       3.71  90  70  1440.2  1292  657  594  202  398  1050 .239
6000 Montreal         4.01  85  75  1433.1  1435  705  639  185  517  1157 .260
6000 Houston          4.07 100  60  1436.0  1334  721  649  199  545  1382 .245
6000 California       4.37  71  89  1421.1  1351  772  690  192  583  1215 .250
6000 Seattle          4.41  69  91  1435.1  1379  749  703  241  533  1380 .251
6000 Kansas City      4.54  82  78  1430.0  1441  792  722  195  464  1083 .260
6000 Milwaukee        4.69  75  85  1425.0  1500  795  743  226  368  1114 .269
6000 Texas            4.71  76  84  1438.1  1450  822  752  227  522  1301 .260
6000 Miami            4.82  72  88  1418.2  1520  820  759  199  436  1105 .272
-------------------- ----- --- --- ------- ----- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----
LEAGUE TOTALS         4.37 720 720 12878.2 12702 6833 6251 1866 4366 10787 .256


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Tall Tactician wrote:

4 degrees!  It is about 10 degrees warmer here, but tomorrow's high will only reach 16 degrees.   BTW, one of the best football games I ever saw live was on a day when the high for the day was 16 degrees, but that's a story for a different thread sometime.

Some thoughts:

1.  As always, great insights and analysis.  Thank you for sharing your thoughts.

2.  I have always felt, but the replay numbers do not support (via your analysis, thank you), that LHP perform worse than their RHPs counterparts.  Have you compared the top 5 left handed pitchers' performance against the top five righties?  Maybe the answer is that overall or in the aggregate both perform about the same, but the righties have a wider spread of performance whereas the lefties tend to be more centralized.   What do you think?

3. As for shifting between A and B and C, I anticipate there will be big shifts in performance.  The Orioles are shifting to the A league and they will not have the same success they enjoyed in the B.  The Phillies are moving to the B.  I am anticipating their performance will improve (nobody is predicting a first place finish).  I agree that watching teams shift from one level to another will be interesting -- Rick's Padres in particular as they shift from C to B.

 

 


Well today is much better. It was up to 14 degrees when I got up. A heat wave - but it comes with a little bit of snow.

1. TT without your probing comments, I don't think I would dig into half of this stuff.

2. Which has the advantage LHP or RHP?

This is a tough question and it varies based upon how you are looking at it.

Like they say "What happens in Franchise Wars stays in Franchise Wars!" Which is the case for my analysis of this data. When a project like this is created, the league(s) will take on their own unique characteristics. So the trends that I pointed out where unique for that league and for that season. And as it turned out, your feelings about RHP being better for did appear to hold for the C League analysis. But because of the uniqueness of these all-star type teams, it really makes it hard to apply that to RL baseball. The HR power skews a lot of the stats. Also, this was only done for one season. That is actually quite a small sample size to analyze. And as N/O just now showed us, things can change pretty drastically with a few teams moving and another season run (except for the Yankees!!!).

But to give you a quick answer - I think RHP is slightly "better" than LHP in most cases. There could be a long discussion about this and again it is based upon what type of "league" that you are considering (whether RL vs. strat vs. strat "projects"). But that is kind of a gut feeling and really applies more to starters. But I think that LHP is important in A & B in order to neutralize all the big LHBs that are found there. So in the initial analysis of those leagues, it appeared based on the limited data that LHP and RHP were fairly equal in effectiveness. This could be all different with the test seasons that N/O just ran.

3. The shifting is fun. Or even just plain old re-runs would yield all kinds of different results (except for one team in pinstripes - and I don't mean the Rockies). 



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rickb wrote:

 GE,

I enjoy reading your comments on the league, which are interesting and thought-provoking.  I like your approach of comparing hitting across the leagues, but not the pitching for all the reasons you gave.  The reduced relative performance of the left-handed starting pitchers in the "C" league was interesting to note, and is a bit puzzling.

There's probably a couple reasons the Padres and Reds lead the leagues in slugging versus LHP.  The Reds have some great right-handed hitters in their history, and both teams are maxing out the platooning opportunities -- getting a bit of the Strat draft-league lefty-bashing effect.  Your comments on the Padres all seem spot on, and it will be fun to see what happens in the B league next time around.  The Padres have a great hitting lineup against LHP, but they are weak against RHP relative to the other teams in these leagues.  I don't expect the Padres to be a contender in the B league, but it's fun to hope for a surprise result. biggrin


 Rick,

  As you know, our philosophies about these leagues are pretty similar. And I like the "the Strat draft-league lefty-bashing effect" line. I will need to work out some kind of trade for a few of those unfortunate Yankee all-stars that were not "great" enough to make that roster to help my KC team.

SDP put up a real nice showing in B. But it is always give and take. What happened to COL? 



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Nitrous Oxide wrote:

Just for some fun I ran all the leagues using unchanged rosters and thus doesn't count for anything. This will give Grey Eagle something to do for the next several months. biggrin


Next several months? ... You didn't even give me some OBP or SLG numbers. What am I supposed to do with just this?

Though I will probably think of something ... reading.gif

***********

Also, regarding TT's previous comment: It can be broken down into a couple of points:

1. "Have you compared the top 5 left handed pitchers' performance against the top five righties?"

This leads to the question - who are the top 5 LHPs/RHPs? That determination would be a hard task. Probably best to  focus on starters. And to simplify - just try to identify some obvious top guys.

Just breezing through the FW stats - one name keeps popping out over and over - Pedro. Martinez BOS 2000 has probably the best starter card in all of FW. He has lead A league in ERA 4 out of 5 seasons and the season he didn't he was second by 0.01 to CLE's Tiant. Another starter who is usually been at the top of FW ERA tables (only 3 seasons in the book) is Maddux. Though he did slip last season, Maddux's first two were strong. Finally another name that has been consistently in the FW ERA leader board is Koufax. I give up after that. But here are their corresponding very impressive RL numbers for their chosen seasons. 

 

P.Martinez 2000 3L

          AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB IBB  SO HBP  SH  SF  XI ROE GDP  SB  CS   AVG   OBP   SLG

vs RHB   369  23  68   9   0  12  22  16   0 148  10   2   0   0   3   3   5   1  .184  .238  .306

vs LHB   399  20  60   9   1   5  19  16   0 136   4   0   1   0   8   8   5   2  .150  .190  .216

vs ALL   768  43 128  18   1  17  41  32   0 284  14   2   1   0  11  11  10   3  .167  .213  .259

Maddux 1995 1L

          AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB IBB  SO HBP  SH  SF  XI ROE GDP  SB  CS   AVG   OBP   SLG

vs RHB   390  23  78  14   0   6  21  13   2  87   2   7   1   0   3   9  10   3  .200  .229  .282

vs LHB   358  15  69   8   0   2  14  10   1  94   2   2   0   0   7   7  16   3  .193  .219  .232

vs ALL   748  38 147  22   0   8  35  23   3 181   4   9   1   0  10  16  26   6  .197  .224  .258

Koufax 1965 1L

          AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB IBB  SO HBP  SH  SF  XI ROE GDP  SB  CS   AVG   OBP   SLG

vs RHB   991  74 185  27   5  21  71  60   4 305   4   9   3   0  18  11  16   2  .187  .235  .288

vs LHB   214   9  31   2   2   5   9  11   0  77   1   4   0   0   3   2   0   2  .145  .190  .243

vs ALL  1205  83 216  29   7  26  80  71   4 382   5  13   3   0  21  13  16   4  .179  .227  .280

So IMO, there are some of the very best starters. Please feel free to suggest others. Not sure what a comparison of them would do. I am more interested in the whole league in general, since thankfully a team would have to faceeach of these guys only 4 or 5 times a year. If you plan your team around the other ~148 games, you would have a much better chance. 

2. "Maybe the answer is that overall or in the aggregate both perform about the same, but the righties have a wider spread of performance whereas the lefties tend to be more centralized.   What do you think?"

For C, the numbers are the numbers.

For C League Batters(from a previous post):

vs. all pitchers line .254/.320/.429 ... 49,893 ABs

vs. LH pitchers line  .263/.328/.448 ... 15,184 ABs

vs. RH pitchers line  .250/.316/.421 ... 34,709 ABs

 

I believe that the point you are making is that - there seem to be fewer LHP on the top of the pertinent leader boards, but that same lower positioning of LH might not be true across the entire "board". In actuality for A & B, the LHS do have good representation in the top 12 - very evenly distributed based upon the population of LHS in those leagues. But for C's top pitchers, LHP % is low. There ARE few top lefty starters AND since the opposing hitter averages are so skewed towards RH pitchers, I would tend to think that the lack of quality LHS would be evenly distributed up and down the entire range. (E.g. Breeze through the team stats and see where the LHS end up relative to the rest of that team's rotation) In a way, it doesn't matter how things are distributed, because overall LHP does seem to be more hit-able. But this of course could be that maybe a some "just average" LHS were selected or certain teams (e.g. SDP) have taken advantage of the platoon "lefty-bashing effect" to cause LHP fits. 

The bottom-line: What does this mean for a C league team? To me it would mean that it is time to review all of my LHPs. (Note: Last round of C League- RHBs hit better, too)

But don't overcompensate, that analysis was only one year and the other leagues didn't show that kind of difference. 

Follow-up: Since N/O was nice enough to provide us with test seasons, it is interesting to note where HOU ended up upon their trial in C. They finished with 100 wins which rode upon a 36-18 record against LHS. This is a very similar route to what SDP took. HOU had nice numbers in B league vs. LHP with a .482 SLG (that was 4th, behind ATL .511, COL .506, BAL .496; "comparable to" C where SDP .537, CHW .491 were tops). But the really scary thing with HOU vs. LHP is Bagwell - he had a 1.011 SLG in the last round of B! That is reason enough to hide your LHS when facing HOU. This trial run seems to support the current C league conclusions that you can get fat off of those C League Lefties.



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Third Base Coach

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Nitrous Oxide wrote:

 

The next "real" seasons will include 2015 and an updated 1982.



 The Natpos are so happy!biggrin



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Third Base Coach

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Grey Eagle wrote:
Nitrous Oxide wrote:

Just for some fun I ran all the leagues using unchanged rosters and thus doesn't count for anything. This will give Grey Eagle something to do for the next several months. biggrin


Next several months? ... You didn't even give me some OBP or SLG numbers. What am I supposed to do with just this?

Though I will probably think of something ... reading.gif

***********

Also, regarding TT's previous comment: It can be broken down into a couple of points:

1. "Have you compared the top 5 left handed pitchers' performance against the top five righties?"

This leads to the question - who are the top 5 LHPs/RHPs? That determination would be a hard task. Probably best to  focus on starters. And to simplify - just try to identify some obvious top guys.

Just breezing through the FW stats - one name keeps popping out over and over - Pedro. Martinez BOS 2000 has probably the best starter card in all of FW. He has lead A league in ERA 4 out of 5 seasons and the season he didn't he was second by 0.01 to CLE's Tiant. Another starter who is usually been at the top of FW ERA tables (only 3 seasons in the book) is Maddux. Though he did slip last season, Maddux's first two were strong. Finally another name that has been consistently in the FW ERA leader board is Koufax. I give up after that. But here are their corresponding very impressive RL numbers for their chosen seasons. 

 

P.Martinez 2000 3L

          AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB IBB  SO HBP  SH  SF  XI ROE GDP  SB  CS   AVG   OBP   SLG

vs RHB   369  23  68   9   0  12  22  16   0 148  10   2   0   0   3   3   5   1  .184  .238  .306

vs LHB   399  20  60   9   1   5  19  16   0 136   4   0   1   0   8   8   5   2  .150  .190  .216

vs ALL   768  43 128  18   1  17  41  32   0 284  14   2   1   0  11  11  10   3  .167  .213  .259

Maddux 1995 1L

          AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB IBB  SO HBP  SH  SF  XI ROE GDP  SB  CS   AVG   OBP   SLG

vs RHB   390  23  78  14   0   6  21  13   2  87   2   7   1   0   3   9  10   3  .200  .229  .282

vs LHB   358  15  69   8   0   2  14  10   1  94   2   2   0   0   7   7  16   3  .193  .219  .232

vs ALL   748  38 147  22   0   8  35  23   3 181   4   9   1   0  10  16  26   6  .197  .224  .258

Koufax 1965 1L

          AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB IBB  SO HBP  SH  SF  XI ROE GDP  SB  CS   AVG   OBP   SLG

vs RHB   991  74 185  27   5  21  71  60   4 305   4   9   3   0  18  11  16   2  .187  .235  .288

vs LHB   214   9  31   2   2   5   9  11   0  77   1   4   0   0   3   2   0   2  .145  .190  .243

vs ALL  1205  83 216  29   7  26  80  71   4 382   5  13   3   0  21  13  16   4  .179  .227  .280

So IMO, there are some of the very best starters. Please feel free to suggest others. Not sure what a comparison of them would do. I am more interested in the whole league in general, since thankfully a team would have to faceeach of these guys only 4 or 5 times a year. If you plan your team around the other ~148 games, you would have a much better chance. 

2. "Maybe the answer is that overall or in the aggregate both perform about the same, but the righties have a wider spread of performance whereas the lefties tend to be more centralized.   What do you think?"

For C, the numbers are the numbers.

For C League Batters(from a previous post):

vs. all pitchers line .254/.320/.429 ... 49,893 ABs

vs. LH pitchers line  .263/.328/.448 ... 15,184 ABs

vs. RH pitchers line  .250/.316/.421 ... 34,709 ABs

 

I believe that the point you are making is that - there seem to be fewer LHP on the top of the pertinent leader boards, but that same lower positioning of LH might not be true across the entire "board". In actuality for A & B, the LHS do have good representation in the top 12 - very evenly distributed based upon the population of LHS in those leagues. But for C's top pitchers, LHP % is low. There ARE few top lefty starters AND since the opposing hitter averages are so skewed towards RH pitchers, I would tend to think that the lack of quality LHS would be evenly distributed up and down the entire range. (E.g. Breeze through the team stats and see where the LHS end up relative to the rest of that team's rotation) In a way, it doesn't matter how things are distributed, because overall LHP does seem to be more hit-able. But this of course could be that maybe a some "just average" LHS were selected or certain teams (e.g. SDP) have taken advantage of the platoon "lefty-bashing effect" to cause LHP fits. 

The bottom-line: What does this mean for a C league team? To me it would mean that it is time to review all of my LHPs. (Note: Last round of C League- RHBs hit better, too)

But don't overcompensate, that analysis was only one year and the other leagues didn't show that kind of difference. 

Follow-up: Since N/O was nice enough to provide us with test seasons, it is interesting to note where HOU ended up upon their trial in C. They finished with 100 wins which rode upon a 36-18 record against LHS. This is a very similar route to what SDP took. HOU had nice numbers in B league vs. LHP with a .482 SLG (that was 4th, behind ATL .511, COL .506, BAL .496; "comparable to" C where SDP .537, CHW .491 were tops). But the really scary thing with HOU vs. LHP is Bagwell - he had a 1.011 SLG in the last round of B! That is reason enough to hide your LHS when facing HOU. This trial run seems to support the current C league conclusions that you can get fat off of those C League Lefties.


My impression was that lefties do not perform as well as their right handed counterparts in Stratomatic.  You analysis on all the batters showed that both lefties and righties performed about the same.  It could be that my supposition is just wrong or it could be explained by the range of the right handed pitchers is greater than lefties.  For example, let's say we rolled dice five times and the average of the rolls was 6.  We repeated the experiment and again had an average of six.  The first time though the dice rolls included snake eyes and 12.  The second set of rolls were all between 4 and 8.  Maybe because there were fewer lefties, they were like the second set of dice and fell in a more compact range.  If that were the case it would explain your analysis and the impression I have about lefties not being as effective.  Can somebody run a regression?  (wink Just kidding.  Besides that wouldn't be the right analysis tool for this.)



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Umpire

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Lefties would do worse if I allowed more players on the roster. There aren't enough players to platoon everywhere and there are lots of solid players who bash lefties.

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I wouldn't mind the Pirates but I'll take the ChiSox otherwise.

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Umpire

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jbird669 wrote:

I wouldn't mind the Pirates but I'll take the ChiSox otherwise.


 I'm glad you are interested. It will be some significant amount of time before I get back to this. Look for updates from me in the future.

 



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Can the Franchise Wars' Yankees be beat?

By simple W-L stats, the Yanks have been dominant in their brief time in the FW leagues. In 3 league runs (1 was non-official), the Yanks have taken the crown each time and have had very few obstacles.

So during the downtime, I put some thought behind the opening question and some other related ones that follow. Just looking at the primary and secondary Yankee team stats reveals the following (taken from the last official A League run - where stats were plentiful):

Pitching Rank for:
OppOBP - 1st
OppSLG - 1st
ERA       - 1st

Batting Rank for:
Runs - 1st
OBP  - 1st
SLG  - 1st

Defense Rank for:
XPct - 1st

Pitching, Hitting, Defense - All first and countless other categories would also be claimed.
(This was a down year for LAD, so LA might challenge some of that pitching)

So is there any weakness in the Yankee armor?

Hitting Weaknesses- don't bother to look. Ruth, Gehrig and Mantle. Might have some ideas later(like how did the OAK staff only give up 108 runs), but it seems like you really can't stop that barrage.

Pitching Weaknesses - The first thing that pops out when looking for a weakness in the Yank's pitching is seeing one of their truly dominant strengths. The Yankee pitching is just unbelievable vs. LHB. The slash (vs. LHB) is .218/.292/.411. This can be attributed to the very high number of LHS (108 LH GS), but also carries over to the bullpen where a bunch of RH RPs are good against LHB.

But since the Yankee staff is so left-handedness slanted, it does drop their pitching effectiveness against RHB to middle (if you consider overall OppOPS) of the pack. The slash (vs. RHB) is .259/.319/.505. Actually the OppAvg and OppOBP numbers are quite competitive, but the .505 OppSLG only barely beats outs SF(.506) and Cin(.508) for the league's 3rd worst.

At this point, that is not a lot to be excited about. But looking a bit further...

How to exploit the Yankee staff?

Next I went to look at how individual teams hit against the Yanks. Nothing really popped. Cubs looked good. So Adding more stats (don't know why SOM didn't add OBP & SLG to the vs. team pitching stats). Cubbies looked even better. Table below which is hitting stats by team against the Yankees:

Team     AB       H       R     2B     3B     HR    RBI     BB    IBB      K   AVG   OBP   Slug   OPS
Bos702170962923592590125.242.301.439.740
ChC72119213838657136690137.266.330.573.903
Cin67817211443341111560127.254.311.507.818
LAD680175922663691510122.257.309.472.781
Oak692157872453382700147.227.298.419.717
Phi706165943764091450133.234.280.473.753
SFG693165942473086750116.238.313.423.736
StL69617612334642119940128.253.342.500.842


Cubs scored 138 Runs, had a .330 OBP (not bad considering it is Yanks and only StL did better) and an amazing .573 SLG.

Now one more table. This one is extremely interesting. This table was created by looking at each Yankee opponent's batting stats vs individual teams. Then putting the corresponding rank (just to the right) of where that team's offensive category performed against the Yankees in comparison to the rest of the league (ranking from 1-8). For example the first row has BOS performing dead last (8th is worst) against the Yankees for AVG, OBP and OPS. The Dodger's staff held BOS to a lower SLG than the Yanks, so at least BOS received a 7th place for SLG against NYY. Internal Ranking of a teams' offensive averages against the Yankees when compared to the league:

 
Team   AVG  Rank   OBP  Rank   Slug  Rank   OPS  Rank
Bos.242   8th.301   8th.439   7th.740   8th
ChC.266   4th.330   2nd.573   1st.903   1st
Cin.254   8th.311   8th.507   7th.818   7th
LAD.257   7th.309   7th.472   7th.781   7th
Oak.227   8th.298   8th.419   7th.717   7th
Phi.234   8th.280   8th.473   6th.753   8th
SFG.238   8th.313   8th.423   8th.736   8th
StL.253   7th.342   5th.500   6th.842   5th
  



So, it should be obvious. There is one unique outlier in the bunch. StL appeared to show a little bit of life against NYY (7th,5th,6th,5th), but not much. But the Cubbies ...

Whereas most teams could not do anything at all against the Yank staff, the Cubs prospered in comparison to their efforts against other teams. Even for an OB-challenged team like the Cubs, they managed a .330 OBP which was their 2nd highest ranking vs any team. And the SLG was incredible.

Note: I don't think this is an anomaly. Though there are only limited stats available for the unofficial run done after the last round, the Cubs again scored a league leading 137 runs (138 were scored with the stats presented above) against the Yanks. Given the individual team stats for that round, I think similar results would be shown.

So what gives?

Well to me it seems like it really boils down to roster construction. The Yanks are as noted before very "left-handednessed" with their entire pitching staff. While the Cubs are the exact opposite - very "right-handednessed" in their hitters. In particular the Cubs have a few RHB who hit RHP fairly good. Also, the Cubs have only one LHB on the 25 man-roster.

I also assume that there is some HAL magic (pitching changes leading to late inning replacements) going on here, that will work to the Cubs' advantage because the limited LHB availability. Not exactly sure what the HAL is going on, but the above numbers are just so skewed something must be happening. Though it would be interesting to see more season trials.

So what?

For the Cubs, this allows them to compete with the Yankees (due to the ying-yang team rosters). But the Cubs are a flawed team. They have HR power (very good HR power which really is their sole strength), but a low OBP. A good RHS will give their lineup fits. Pitching is still a work-in-progress with not too many options (but a 2015 Arrieta will help).

For the rest of the league, this possible Yankee "weakness" might be something to consider. The Yankees have constructed a staff that has given most teams' hitting considerable problems(see that second table above). The Yankee offense is just too talented (starting with Ruth, Gehrig, Mantle). So it looks like to challenge them, an opponent must ramp up the offense. Yankee pitching has shown a great capability to limit LHBs. The option might be looking more RH.

But it will be complicated on how to modify a team. The Yankee SPs have 108 GS with conventional LHSs (better vs. LHB). While the bullpen is made up with a bunch of reverse RHPs. Which means one RHB situation will not fit all. Also, if changes are made for the sole purpose of "beating the Yanks", sacrifices might have to be made that could weaken the team against the rest of the league.

Note: In just looking through some A league rosters, BOS (of course, the arch rival) seems to be nicely positioned to battle the Yankee bullpen with Cronin and Doerr available off the bench. But it is a matter of HAL willing.

Now What?

The Yankees will continue to dominate the league. They might have a "bad" season, but their version of bad could still be good enough. The biggest advantage is their offense. I don't know if it is possible to outdo them in OBP or SLG.

Even with all A league teams making some kind of concerted effort on improvements in order to "beat the Yanks", I don't know if that would be enough. Cubs have unique RHB ability, but limited pitching. Though they could be a pain in the Yanks side, I doubt they have enough to take the title. As of now, they are fortunate to be barely hanging on in A. Another team with strong pitching might be able to do more damage. But Teams are limited to the talent on hand and no one has a better hand than the Yanks.

Finally for the pitching to the Yanks, I found it interesting that it was OAK that limited the Yanks to "just" 108 runs (the lowest total for any of the 3 runs). Since OAK was relegated, there was no rematch. Unlike CHC, I couldn't find a reason on why OAK might have pitched so well. But I did notice that Vida Blue does have quite an unique card. Vida Blue is a LHP with a 7R. How would you build a lineup against that? Wonder how he did against the Yanks(is he the guy behind that 108)?



-- Edited by Grey Eagle on Monday 16th of May 2016 11:16:56 PM

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