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Post Info TOPIC: Andrew Miller's 2015 Card?
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VIP Season Ticket Holder

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Date: May 18, 2016
Andrew Miller's 2015 Card?
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Does anyone else seem to be having a problem with Andrew Miller's 2015 NYY Strat Card? 

Here is my issue based upon seeing his BAL rating. He was given a BAL of 3L. I don't have the card to confirm whether this is reflected in the card itself (so it may be just the rating is wrong? - though it seems like that would be caught), but it sure doesn't seem to be representative of his real life stats.

Split        G      PA      AB        R        H      2B      3B     HR     BB     IBB     SO     BA   OBP   SLG   OPS
RHB60199175112330417179.131.227.217.444
LHB3147435101013021.233.277.326.602
 
  

 

He looks to be more of a 3R (or more) than a 3L. Can someone report the counts/%s from the splits on the card/computer?



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Umpire

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Date: May 18, 2016
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Steve Barkan weighed in on this card. He was not involved in the creation of the card. The balance rating was certainly challenged.

"As far as Miller is concerned, I questioned SOM about it and was told that it is correct based on the process that they used."



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VIP Season Ticket Holder

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Date: May 18, 2016
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So if the BAL rating is reflective of the card, it really has a big impact on how he may be used. He is definitely more effective versus RHB in real life.

Here is what I think maybe happening with their "process" (Call it the SOM shift):
The issue is probably Miller's OppBA vs. RHB is so low that you have no (or almost none) hits on the RHB side, but HR are high enough vs. RHB that you would need some HR numbers. In order to create a card that produces about the same BA, OBP, SLG numbers (which appears to b a high priority), you can "shift" hits and homers from one side to the other. (The "shift" seems only to be done in extreme cases like Miller's). It would seem that if you shifted things more to his weak (LHB) side, it would make more sense. But Miller faced so few LHBs, the shifting would make that side too weak (LHB would pound him). So the shift was made to the RHB side. Not sure that I like the way it ended up and effected his BAL so drastically.

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Upper Deck - Infield Ticket

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Date: May 18, 2016
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Grey Eagle wrote:

Does anyone else seem to be having a problem with Andrew Miller's 2015 NYY Strat Card? 

Here is my issue based upon seeing his BAL rating. He was given a BAL of 3L. I don't have the card to confirm whether this is reflected in the card itself (so it may be just the rating is wrong? - though it seems like that would be caught), but it sure doesn't seem to be representative of his real life stats.

Split        G      PA      AB        R        H      2B      3B     HR     BB     IBB     SO     BA   OBP   SLG   OPS
RHB60199175112330417179.131.227.217.444
LHB3147435101013021.233.277.326.602
 
  

 

He looks to be more of a 3R (or more) than a 3L. Can someone report the counts/%s from the splits on the card/computer?


Miller's card vs. LHB has 7 walk chances, and everything else is strikeouts besides the usual X-Chances.  Vs. RHB, Miller has 10 walk chances, 1.8 HR chances, 1 ballpark HR chance, 1.5 single chances, and everything else is strikeouts besides the usual X-Chances.

I wouldn't worry about him too much facing righties with that card.  I thought I had read somewhere -- it escapes me now where -- that some time ago (15 years ago??) Strat started using more than one season's stats to determine it's R-L splits.  Maybe someone else knows whether that is indeed the case.  However, don't know if that would explain the situation with Miller's card.



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